Aarau II vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AAR
0 - 1
FCW
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 1
SCH
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 3
AAR
10%
17%
74%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
SEE
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCO
3 - 4
KOS
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 0
FCO
18%
22%
61%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RSZ
0 - 1
FCO
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 1
KUS
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 0
FCO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |