Aarau II vs Herzogenbuchsee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UZU
1 - 1
AAR
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AAR
3 - 4
SEE
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
4 - 1
AAR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WOH
2 - 2
AAR
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
KUS
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 2
KUS
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UST
2 - 0
FCH
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 4
LAN
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 2
FCH
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 3
RSZ
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | -1 |