Aarau II vs FC Brugg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AAR
3 - 0
SAR
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 1
AAR
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AAR
5 - 2
LSS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
KUS
0 - 1
AAR
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
AAR
1 - 1
FCS
54%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Brugg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
IBA
5 - 0
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 4
BUO
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 4
LUG
15%
21%
65%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAR
4 - 0
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 2
MAL
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |