Aarau II vs Eschenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 2
AAR
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
FCM
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 1
LSS
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
AAR
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AAR
3 - 1
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 3
WOH
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
ESC
2 - 0
SAR
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
3 - 1
ESC
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ESC
0 - 2
HER
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FCS
3 - 3
ESC
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |