Aarau II vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 2
AAR
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AAR
10 - 3
DAR
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
3 - 4
AAR
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 0
ALL
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BST
2 - 3
AAR
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DOR
3 - 0
MUT
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 2
DOR
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 0
KRU
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RSZ
0 - 4
DOR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 3
BIN
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |