Aarau II vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCS
0 - 3
AAR
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AAR
1 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LSS
1 - 0
AAR
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AAR
2 - 0
OLT
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 0
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BUO
1 - 6
KRI
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BUO
5 - 1
FCA
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
IBA
2 - 2
BUO
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 3
BUO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BUO
2 - 0
SCH
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |