Aarau II vs Balerna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
AAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LSS
4 - 2
AAR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 3
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
AAR
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 3
SAR
18%
21%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
3 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
HER
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
4 - 0
EMM
14%
20%
66%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +5 |