Aalesunds FK vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
9º
6º
13
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
RAN
2 - 1
ELP
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ELP
1 - 1
IKS
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 2
HAM
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 0
HOD
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
ELP
1 - 0
BOG
20%
21%
60%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
STB
2 - 2
KON
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 0
STB
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
STB
4 - 3
MJO
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
STB
4 - 0
MJO
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |