Aalesunds FK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
16º
16º
41
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 2
ELP
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIF
3 - 1
ELP
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
LSK
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RBK
4 - 0
ELP
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
S08
5 - 2
RBK
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
S08
28%
25%
48%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
S08
3 - 1
LSK
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BBS
1 - 0
S08
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
S08
4 - 0
TRO
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |