Aalesunds FK vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SOG
0 - 0
ELP
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ELP
1 - 3
MFK
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
AZA
6 - 0
ELP
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
STR
2 - 2
ELP
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
ELP
2 - 1
AZA
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
S08
1 - 1
STR
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
S08
0 - 6
RBK
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
IKS
1 - 0
S08
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
S08
0 - 2
VIF
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LSK
3 - 1
S08
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |