Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-3
Aalesunds FK vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RBK
3 - 0
ELP
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
APO
2 - 1
ELP
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ELP
3 - 1
STB
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ELP
5 - 0
TIR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BBS
2 - 1
ELP
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
APO
2 - 1
ELP
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SEN
0 - 1
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
APO
2 - 0
SEN
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ANO
1 - 2
APO
47%
28%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
APO
1 - 2
OMO
41%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |