Aalen II vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 1
AAL
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AAL
2 - 1
PFU
12%
17%
70%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 0
KPF
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
4 - 1
KEH
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
FRE
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FRE
5 - 0
OBE
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 3
FRE
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |