Aalborg Chang vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg Chang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
AAL
1 - 3
THI
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
AAL
1 - 3
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
AAL
0 - 1
ACH
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
AAF
1 - 1
AAL
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
AAL
1 - 0
B93
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
THI
2 - 2
SKJ
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
THI
2 - 3
NAS
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
DJU
3 - 3
THI
24%
23%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
THI
2 - 0
VAR
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
THI
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |