Aalborg Chang vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg Chang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
VEJ
1 - 2
AAL
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
AAL
0 - 3
BFR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
AAL
2 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
SKJ
0 - 1
AAL
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
AAL
1 - 2
SIF
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
RAN
2 - 1
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
SKJ
1 - 3
RAN
26%
23%
52%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
RAN
2 - 0
SIF
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 2
RAN
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
RAN
2 - 1
KBK
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |