Aalborg Chang vs Herning Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg Chang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
FRE
3 - 1
AAL
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
AAL
4 - 1
OLS
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
AAL
2 - 1
BOL
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
ROS
2 - 1
AAL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Herning Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
HER
3 - 3
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
ROS
0 - 2
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1997 |
HER
1 - 1
ESB
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
NAE
2 - 2
HER
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |