Intertoto Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Aalborg BK vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
HON
2 - 2
AAB
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
AAB
3 - 1
OBK
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
MID
2 - 1
AAB
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
AAB
2 - 0
ESB
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ACH
1 - 4
AAB
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
HON
2 - 2
AAB
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
HON
2 - 0
TPS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
TVM
2 - 4
HON
70%
17%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
TVM
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
FCL
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |