Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
Aalborg BK vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AAB
2 - 1
FCK
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
GOR
3 - 0
AAB
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
AAB
2 - 2
RAN
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
AGF
3 - 0
AAB
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AAB
1 - 1
BIF
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
GOR
3 - 0
AAB
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GOR
4 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FTK
5 - 4
GOR
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ZUG
1 - 2
GOR
19%
29%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GOR
0 - 1
DTB
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |