Danish Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Aalborg BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HOB
0 - 2
AAB
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
ROS
0 - 4
AAB
12%
17%
71%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
AAB
1 - 0
FCN
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AAB
2 - 2
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCK
6 - 2
AAB
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SON
2 - 2
AGF
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AGF
1 - 1
HOB
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AAB
2 - 2
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ESB
2 - 1
AGF
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |