Guarany SE vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 0
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CON
0 - 1
GUA
84%
12%
4%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
RFC
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
LAG
1 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOC
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SER
0 - 2
MAR
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
OSE
1 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |