Guarany SE vs Independente SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECP
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
FJA
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 1
GUA
13%
18%
69%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
CDC
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ABS
1 - 3
INS
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
INS
2 - 2
SDJ
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
INS
5 - 1
AMA
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OSE
0 - 0
INS
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
INS
1 - 0
BOQ
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |