Guarany SE vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
SOC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 2
BOC
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |