Guarany SE vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 2
BOC
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CON
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
OSE
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
PIR
2 - 1
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
ITA
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
AMA
2 - 1
PIR
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
AMA
2 - 1
BOC
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 0
AMA
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SER
1 - 0
AMA
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AMA
3 - 0
LAG
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +4 |