AA Alvorada vs Miracema EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AAA
3 - 0
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
PAL
7 - 0
AAA
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ARA
5 - 0
AAA
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 1
CAT
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 5
GUR
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Miracema EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MEC
2 - 0
GUR
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 1
MEC
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
INT
3 - 1
MEC
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
MEC
1 - 2
CEC
35%
24%
42%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
TOC
1 - 1
MEC
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |