AA Alvorada vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 2
PAL
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
AAA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 1
FJE
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
AAA
0 - 0
TOC
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -12 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
KEC
5 - 2
AAA
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GUR
2 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
GUR
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GUR
3 - 1
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
GUR
4 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |