Portuguesa vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 3
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
17%
25%
57%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
LON
4 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAU
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2003 |
PAU
0 - 1
AVA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
CAX
1 - 2
PAU
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
PAU
2 - 2
NAU
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
JEC
0 - 1
PAU
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |