Portuguesa vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1975 |
POR
0 - 2
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
POR
4 - 0
SER
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
POR
2 - 1
GOI
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CAM
1 - 5
POR
33%
31%
36%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
GRE
0 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
NAU
3 - 0
CEB
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
NAU
4 - 1
DES
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
42%
30%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1975 |
NAU
2 - 0
AME
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |