Portuguesa vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
3 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
27%
24%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
VOT
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
MON
46%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |