Portuguesa vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
VAS
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
CRZ
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
PPE
2 - 0
COR
27%
30%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COR
1 - 2
GOI
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |