Portuguesa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
POR
1 - 2
SAO
8%
25%
68%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MIR
2 - 1
POR
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
PPE
0 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
NOV
13%
25%
62%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOT
16%
23%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |