Portuguesa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 0
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
POR
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
COR
37%
30%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
GRE
36%
27%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 2
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 2
PAU
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
PPE
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
BOT
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
LAJ
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |