Portuguesa vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
OSV
1 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
POR
3 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 3
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
POR
2 - 4
CEA
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
INT
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 4
BOT
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AME
2 - 0
BOT
30%
24%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |