Portuguesa vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
15%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
PAL
4 - 2
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 2
SCI
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 5
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |