Copa do Brasil 1/16
First leg 7-0
Portuguesa vs Atlético Roraima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ARO
0 - 7
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
PAU
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 3
ARO
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ARO
0 - 7
POR
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
ARO
43%
23%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAC
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
ARO
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |