A Peroxa B vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Peroxa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CEN
6 - 2
APE
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
APE
2 - 1
OUT
19%
20%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 4
APE
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
APE
0 - 1
RAZ
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
APE
2 - 7
MOR
24%
21%
55%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TOE
2 - 0
SCA
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
TOE
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOE
1 - 2
CRE
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CMI
1 - 2
TOE
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 2
TOE
41%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |