A Merca vs Os Chaos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
4 - 2
MER
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MER
4 - 0
BUB
43%
23%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
MER
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
ALL
31%
22%
48%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BMI
4 - 2
MER
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
CEN
53%
19%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
0 - 1
CHA
68%
16%
16%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 4
VIL
36%
20%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BUB
4 - 0
CHA
40%
20%
40%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 3
CRE
38%
21%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |