A Merca vs Maceda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MER
3 - 4
VIL
41%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 1
MER
65%
18%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
SOU
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BUB
2 - 3
MER
51%
21%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
MUN
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Maceda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
MAC
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 3
VIL
34%
21%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
5 - 1
BUB
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
4 - 0
MAC
69%
17%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |