A Manchica vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Manchica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAN
41%
24%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 3
APE
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIB
0 - 0
MAN
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAS
2 - 0
MAN
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 4
SDN
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TAB
3 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
34%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
FRA
14%
18%
69%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALL
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |