A Lama SD vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Lama SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 0
DEI
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ADR
1 - 1
ALA
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 0
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 1
ALA
59%
21%
20%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
CES
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
ADR
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAL
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 5
MOS
17%
21%
63%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CES
5 - 2
CAL
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |