A Lama SD vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Lama SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOS
2 - 1
ALA
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 4
ALA
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 3
SAD
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 1
ALA
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 2
COB
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEI
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 1
MOR
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FIG
2 - 1
CAL
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MOS
3 - 2
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |