Aşgabat vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 3
AGA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 0
KAS
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 0
AGA
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
BFT
4 - 2
AGA
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
AGA
1 - 4
ARK
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
21%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
ALT
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
FKA
8 - 3
MER
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -3 |