Aşgabat vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AGA
2 - 0
AGA
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
AHA
2 - 0
AGA
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AGA
0 - 2
EFT
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 0
AGA
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 1
AHA
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MER
4 - 2
KAS
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BFT
1 - 0
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 1
MER
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
KAS
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |