Aşgabat vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
EFT
1 - 0
AGA
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
2 - 1
KAS
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AHA
3 - 1
AGA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
BFT
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 5
AHA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |