Aşgabat vs Merw analysis


56	ELO	54
-13.8%	Tilt	-0.3%
6424º	General ELO ranking	6761º
7º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

41.6%

Aşgabat

27.2%

Draw

31.2%

Merw

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%

27.2%

Draw

0-0

8.7%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.2%

31.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-38%

-45%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aşgabat

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
11 May. 2018	EFT 2 - 1 AGA 48% 25% 27%	55	55
05 May. 2018	AGA 1 - 1 KAS 41% 26% 33%	55	55
27 Apr. 2018	AGA 1 - 0 BFT 42% 26% 32%	55	55
21 Apr. 2018	AGA 2 - 0 AGA 43% 27% 30%	55	55
14 Apr. 2018	AHA 4 - 1 AGA 49% 25% 26%	55	55

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 May. 2018	MER 1 - 1 BFT 45% 26% 30%	55	55	0	0
05 May. 2018	AGA 3 - 2 MER 44% 27% 30%	55	55	0	0
21 Apr. 2018	MER 0 - 0 ALT 43% 26% 32%	55	55	0	0
13 Apr. 2018	KAS 0 - 2 MER 44% 24% 32%	49	47	2	+6
07 Apr. 2018	EFT 0 - 0 MER 60% 22% 18%	49	53	4	0