Aşgabat vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
AGA
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
AHA
3 - 0
AGA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AGA
2 - 1
EFT
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
BFT
5 - 0
AGA
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AGA
2 - 1
ALT
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
MER
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
ALT
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MER
0 - 3
AHA
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
EFT
1 - 2
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MER
0 - 4
BFT
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |