Aşgabat vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
HTT
0 - 0
AGA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
AGA
0 - 3
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TAL
1 - 0
AGA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
AGA
3 - 4
AHA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
AGA
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
MER
3 - 0
HTT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
TAL
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AHA
0 - 2
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
BAG
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |