Aşgabat vs Balkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2011 |
DAO
1 - 6
AGA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AGA
2 - 0
AHA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
AGA
0 - 1
AGA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AGA
4 - 1
GAA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
AGA
0 - 1
HTT
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
HTT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAG
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 3
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
GAA
1 - 3
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |