Aşgabat vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
AGA
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 8
ARK
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 3
AGA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 1
AHA
37%
24%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
BFT
55%
22%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 0
BFT
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |