Aşgabat vs Ahal FT analysis


55	ELO	55
-13.7%	Tilt	-0.5%
6424º	General ELO ranking	4632º
7º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

40.7%

Aşgabat

26.8%

Draw

32.5%

Ahal FT

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%

26.8%

Draw

0-0

8.1%

1-1

12.7%

2-2

5%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.8%

32.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-38%

+17%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aşgabat

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
26 May. 2018	ALT 2 - 1 AGA 55% 23% 23%	55	55
23 May. 2018	AGA 2 - 3 ALT 40% 27% 34%	55	55
19 May. 2018	AGA 1 - 0 MER 42% 27% 31%	55	55
11 May. 2018	EFT 2 - 1 AGA 48% 25% 27%	55	55
05 May. 2018	AGA 1 - 1 KAS 41% 26% 33%	55	55

Matches

Ahal FT

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 May. 2018	MER 2 - 3 AHA 43% 26% 31%	55	55	0	0
27 May. 2018	AHA 2 - 0 BFT 50% 24% 26%	55	55	0	0
23 May. 2018	EFT 1 - 2 AHA 48% 25% 28%	55	55	0	0
16 May. 2018	FKA 2 - 3 AHA 12% 20% 68%	56	33	23	-1
11 May. 2018	KAS 0 - 1 AHA 46% 25% 29%	55	55	0	+1