Aşgabat vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2020 |
ALT
4 - 1
AGA
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2020 |
AGA
5 - 2
BFT
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
AGA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
EFT
0 - 1
AGA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
0 - 1
KAS
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2020 |
EFT
0 - 1
AGA
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
KAS
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
64%
22%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2020 |
AHA
2 - 0
AGA
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AGA
1 - 1
ALT
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |