A Bola CD vs Raio Alaricano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Bola CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VID
2 - 1
ABO
58%
20%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ABO
0 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
ABO
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ABO
0 - 2
PAD
32%
23%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
4 - 0
ABO
48%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Raio Alaricano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RAL
2 - 2
MAC
54%
22%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MUI
6 - 5
RAL
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RAL
1 - 1
RAN
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 5
RAL
21%
21%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RAL
2 - 1
VIA
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |